November 12, 2023 jamorell Workshop – Complex Behavior in Models, Methodology, and Metrics

A Different Way to Understand How Programs Work and What They Accomplish – EES 2023 Professional Development

These are the slides for a professional development workshop at EES 2023 about what evaluators can learn from Complexity Science. With slight variations, they are similar to my other workshops on this subject.

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Eat dessert first. Life is uncertain.
Good advice. True observation.

Any yet, we must soldier on, trying to predict what will happen and to explain why things work out as they do. My professional life has grappled with prediction and explanation through the lens of program evaluation. I have come to appreciate how much, and how little, evaluation can tell us. Sometimes it is “much”. Sometime is “little”. Sometimes it is “much” and “little” at the same time. This blog expresses my engagement with what evaluation can do, what it cannot do, what it should do, and what it should not do. About the graphic.