Evaluation Uncertainty

Surprises in Programs and their Evaluations

Jonathan (Jonny) A. Morell, PhD
JAMORELL@JAMORELL.COM

4.669…
Evaluation & Planning

Six principles for applying complexity to the evaluation of transformation

May 20, 2022 jamorell Complex Systems, Programs, and Evaluation, Practical Ways to use Complexity to do Evaluation, Workshop – Complex Behavior in Models, Methodology, and Metrics

Complexity in Evaluation: My Latest Thinking on What Matters

May 3, 2022May 3, 2022 jamorell Complex Systems, Programs, and Evaluation, Practical Ways to use Complexity to do Evaluation

Installment One of an Occasional Series: Applied Complexity – Tools for Understanding Programs and their Consequences

April 19, 2022 jamorell Practical Ways to use Complexity to do Evaluation

Questions That Could Benefit from an Understanding of Complexity

April 1, 2022 jamorell Practical Ways to use Complexity to do Evaluation

Complexity-Informed Evaluation – An Exploration in Understanding Pattern, Predictability, and How Change Happens.

Eat dessert first. Life is uncertain.
Good advice. True observation.

Any yet, we must soldier on, trying to predict what will happen and to explain why things work out as they do. My professional life has grappled with prediction and explanation through the lens of program evaluation. I have come to appreciate how much, and how little, evaluation can tell us. Sometimes it is “much”. Sometime is “little”. Sometimes it is “much” and “little” at the same time. This blog expresses my engagement with what evaluation can do, what it cannot do, what it should do, and what it should not do. About the graphic.

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