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Evaluation Uncertainty

Evaluation Uncertainty

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Surprises in Programs and their Evaluations

Jonathan (Jonny) A. Morell, PhD
JAMORELL@JAMORELL.COM

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Recent Posts

December 27, 2020January 19, 2021 jamorell Evaluation as a Discipline and a Profession

Four facets of AEA. Four questions. No answers provided.

December 20, 2020 jamorell Complex Systems, Programs, and Evaluation

Complexity as a Trend in Evaluation: Similarities and Differences with Classical Statistics

December 19, 2020 jamorell Complex Systems, Programs, and Evaluation, Practical Ways to use Complexity to do Evaluation

A Complex System View of Technology Acquisition Choice

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020 jamorell Agent-based Modeling as an Evaluation Tool

Simulation Using Events and Goals – A New Approach to Agent-based Modeling

December 5, 2020December 5, 2020 jamorell Agent-based Modeling as an Evaluation Tool

Social Causality with Agents using Multiple Perspectives: A Novel Approach to Understanding Network-based Social Phenomena

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Eat desert first.
Life is uncertain.
Good advice.
True observation.

Any yet, we must soldier on, trying to predict what will happen and to explain why things work out as the way they do. My professional life has grappled with prediction and explanation through the lens of program evaluation. I have come to appreciate how much, and how little, evaluation can tell us. Sometimes it is “much”. Sometime is “little”. Sometimes it is “much” and “little” at the same time. This blog expresses my engagement with what evaluation can do, what it cannot do, what it should do, and what it should not do.

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