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Evaluation Uncertainty

Evaluation Uncertainty

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Author: jamorell

November 16, 2010May 13, 2019 jamorell Program Theory and Program Logic

Looking for opinions about content — AEA workshop: Logic Models – Beyond the Traditional View: Metrics, Methods, Expected and Unexpected Change

The range of material we can cover during the workshop is much broader than time will allow. Please look through the slides (see attachment) and post your suggestions for priorities.

November 7, 2010May 13, 2019 jamorell Program Theory and Program Logic

Dealing with variability

As a result of some back and forth with members of AEA's Systems TIG, I have been thinking about the idea that over and above specific activities in any one organization, what's also important is its capacity to deal with variability.

November 1, 2010May 13, 2019 jamorell Miscenaneous

Jonny Morell’s very brief summary of his work on evaluation uncertainty

People have been asking me if I could briefly summarize my work on evaluation in the face of uncertainty. It took me a while, but I finally came up with the following.

October 13, 2010May 13, 2019 jamorell Program Theory and Program Logic

Looking for opinions about content — AEA workshop: Logic Models – Beyond the Traditional View: Metrics, Methods, Expected and Unexpected Change

Asking for opinions about content for AEA logic model workshop.

September 6, 2010May 13, 2019 jamorell Unintended consequences

Efficiently (on the cheap) and effectively evaluating training with uncertain outcomes

Effective workshop evaluation on the cheap.

August 5, 2010May 13, 2019 jamorell Agent-based Modeling as an Evaluation Tool

Integrating Evaluation and Agent-Based Modeling

An argument for integrating agent based modeling into traditional evaluation methodologies

July 24, 2010April 28, 2013 jamorell Unintended consequences

Looking for examples of unexpected program outcome

Looking for examples of unexpected program outcome.

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Eat dessert first. Life is uncertain.
Good advice. True observation.

Any yet, we must soldier on, trying to predict what will happen and to explain why things work out as they do. My professional life has grappled with prediction and explanation through the lens of program evaluation. I have come to appreciate how much, and how little, evaluation can tell us. Sometimes it is “much”. Sometime is “little”. Sometimes it is “much” and “little” at the same time. This blog expresses my engagement with what evaluation can do, what it cannot do, what it should do, and what it should not do. About the graphic.

Contributions to this blog are most welcome. If you are interested, please contact me at jamorell@jamorell.com.

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